Draw Duel
Mikael Granlund faceoff stats, 2025-26
ANA · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
48.0%
90%: 46.1%–49.9% vs an average regular, on 2,771 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
49.7%
381 won of 766 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
53.9% / 42.6%
384 strong-side, 251 weak-side draws this season
Next game
6.7 FOW
2026-10-04 vs FLA: 13 draws at 50.3%, range 3–11
Where Granlund wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 236 | 133 | 56.4% |
| OZ right | 68 | 22 | 32.4% |
| NZ left (att.) | 19 | 13 | 68.4% |
| NZ right (att.) | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| Centre | 131 | 67 | 51.1% |
| NZ left (def.) | 20 | 13 | 65.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 16 | 8 | 50.0% |
| DZ left | 109 | 48 | 44.0% |
| DZ right | 157 | 73 | 46.5% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R39.3%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L39.9%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R40.3%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R40.8%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L40.9%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L41.1%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L60.8%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L60.4%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L59.4%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L57.7%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L57.4%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R57.3%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 50.0% 12 | 40.0% 10 | 100.0% 2 | — 0 | 33.3% 3 | 33.3% 3 | 66.7% 6 | 33.3% 6 | 75.0% 4 |
| 2025-26 | 49.7% 766 | 50.1% 561 | 56.7% 141 | 31.3% 64 | 51.0% 304 | 53.6% 196 | 45.5% 266 | 53.9% 384 | 42.6% 251 |
| 2024-25 | 49.6% 724 | 49.5% 588 | 60.5% 43 | 45.2% 93 | 51.7% 205 | 46.9% 226 | 50.2% 293 | 52.4% 340 | 47.6% 233 |
| 2023-24 | 46.8% 1052 | 46.7% 885 | 44.9% 69 | 49.0% 98 | 48.0% 300 | 47.0% 338 | 45.7% 414 | 50.1% 439 | 44.8% 362 |
| Playoffs (all) | 47.9% 217 | 45.9% 172 | 56.8% 37 | 50.0% 8 | 51.0% 104 | 39.7% 58 | 50.9% 55 | 53.5% 114 | 40.9% 66 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Eichel | 27–23 | 54.0% | 51.1% | 51.4% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Leon Draisaitl | 18–29 | 38.3% | 44.4% | 43.9% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Connor McDavid | 17–20 | 45.9% | 49.4% | 49.2% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Matty Beniers | 18–15 | 54.5% | 51.2% | 51.4% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| William Karlsson | 10–23 | 30.3% | 44.4% | 43.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.6) |
| Robert Thomas | 15–15 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 46.1% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Sidney Crosby | 14–16 | 46.7% | 43.5% | 43.7% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Nic Dowd | 17–13 | 56.7% | 47.1% | 47.7% | a bit unusual (z 1.0) |
| Mark Scheifele | 15–12 | 55.6% | 51.2% | 51.5% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Wyatt Johnston | 14–10 | 58.3% | 49.7% | 50.1% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Chandler Stephenson | 14–9 | 60.9% | 45.0% | 45.7% | a bit unusual (z 1.5) |
| Shane Wright | 9–13 | 40.9% | 55.8% | 55.2% | a bit unusual (z -1.4) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | @ VGK | 6 | 12 | 50.0% |
| 2026-05-14 | vs VGK | 6 | 19 | 31.6% |
| 2026-05-12 | @ VGK | 8 | 16 | 50.0% |
| 2026-05-10 | vs VGK | 5 | 12 | 41.7% |
| 2026-05-08 | vs VGK | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | @ VGK | 8 | 13 | 61.5% |
| 2026-05-04 | @ VGK | 5 | 14 | 35.7% |
| 2026-04-30 | vs EDM | 8 | 13 | 61.5% |
| 2026-04-28 | @ EDM | 7 | 18 | 38.9% |
| 2026-04-26 | vs EDM | 7 | 17 | 41.2% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-04 vs FLA likely opponents: Anton Lundell (48%), Aleksander Barkov (45%)6.7 FOW 3–11
- 2026-10-07 vs EDM likely opponents: Leon Draisaitl (47%), Owen Michaels (57%)7.2 FOW 3–11
- 2026-10-09 vs WPG likely opponents: Adam Lowry (47%), Jonathan Toews (42%)6.5 FOW 3–10
- 2026-10-10 vs CGY likely opponents: Mikael Backlund (49%), Morgan Frost (47%)6.7 FOW 3–11
FAQ
What is Mikael Granlund's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Mikael Granlund's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Mikael Granlund win tonight?
When Mikael Granlund has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Mikael Granlund better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.