Draw Duel
Joakim Kemell faceoff stats, 2025-26
NSH · R · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
—
Only 8 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.
2025-26 FO%
12.5%
1 won of 8 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
14.3% / 0.0%
7 strong-side, 1 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Kemell wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 0 | 0 | — |
| OZ right | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| Centre | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ left (def.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ right (def.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| DZ left | 0 | 0 | — |
| DZ right | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R30.1%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L30.2%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R30.9%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L31.1%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L31.3%
- Jack Drury NSH · L31.3%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L50.5%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L50.1%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L48.9%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L47.2%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L46.9%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R46.8%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12.5% 8 | 12.5% 8 | — 0 | — 0 | 33.3% 3 | 0.0% 2 | 0.0% 3 | 14.3% 7 | 0.0% 1 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Ostapchuk | 1–1 | 50.0% | 36.9% | 36.9% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Sean Kuraly | 0–1 | 0.0% | 35.9% | 35.8% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Shane Pinto | 0–1 | 0.0% | 30.9% | 30.8% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Michael McCarron | 0–1 | 0.0% | 42.3% | 42.2% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Alexander Wennberg | 0–1 | 0.0% | 40.9% | 40.8% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Alex Killorn | 0–1 | 0.0% | 52.0% | 51.9% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Mason McTavish | 0–1 | 0.0% | 38.2% | 38.1% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | vs ANA | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-13 | vs SJS | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIN | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ ANA | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-04 | @ SJS | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs SJS | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | vs BOS | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-10-13 | @ OTT | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Joakim Kemell's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Joakim Kemell's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Joakim Kemell win tonight?
When Joakim Kemell has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Joakim Kemell better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.