Draw Duel
Nicolas Aube-Kubel faceoff stats, 2025-26
MIN · R · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
—
Only 33 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.
2025-26 FO%
0.0%
0 won of 5 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
0.0% / —
4 strong-side, 0 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Aube-Kubel wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 and 2024-25 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 0 | 0 | — |
| OZ right | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Centre | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ right (def.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| DZ left | 0 | 0 | — |
| DZ right | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R30.5%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L30.6%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R31.3%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L31.5%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L31.7%
- Jack Drury NSH · L31.7%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L51.0%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L50.6%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L49.4%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L47.7%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L47.4%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R47.2%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 0.0% 5 | 0.0% 4 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | 0.0% 2 | 0.0% 2 | 0.0% 1 | 0.0% 4 | — 0 |
| 2024-25 | 62.5% 8 | 62.5% 8 | — 0 | — 0 | 100.0% 1 | 33.3% 3 | 75.0% 4 | 57.1% 7 | 100.0% 1 |
| 2023-24 | 33.3% 18 | 29.4% 17 | — 0 | 100.0% 1 | 25.0% 4 | 42.9% 7 | 28.6% 7 | 25.0% 16 | — 0 |
| Playoffs (all) | 50.0% 2 | 50.0% 2 | — 0 | — 0 | — 0 | — 0 | 50.0% 2 | 50.0% 2 | — 0 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Trocheck | 2–1 | 66.7% | 38.7% | 38.9% | normal luck (z 1.0) |
| Dylan Strome | 0–2 | 0.0% | 34.9% | 34.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Evgeni Malkin | 1–1 | 50.0% | 41.2% | 41.2% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Barclay Goodrow | 1–1 | 50.0% | 40.3% | 40.3% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Mikko Rantanen | 0–1 | 0.0% | 40.8% | 40.7% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Nicolas Roy | 0–1 | 0.0% | 41.7% | 41.6% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Mitchell Stephens | 1–0 | 100.0% | 45.2% | 45.3% | a bit unusual (z 1.1) |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 0–1 | 0.0% | 37.9% | 37.8% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Michael McLeod | 0–1 | 0.0% | 38.7% | 38.7% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan | 1–0 | 100.0% | 46.8% | 46.9% | a bit unusual (z 1.1) |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 0–1 | 0.0% | 43.6% | 43.5% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Mark Kastelic | 0–1 | 0.0% | 39.9% | 39.8% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | @ CBJ | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | vs WSH | 0 | 3 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BOS | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-03-28 | @ ANA | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-03-25 | @ LAK | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-01-20 | @ SEA | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2024-12-11 | vs NYR | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2024-12-05 | vs WPG | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2024-12-03 | vs COL | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2024-11-14 | vs STL | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Nicolas Aube-Kubel's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Nicolas Aube-Kubel's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Nicolas Aube-Kubel win tonight?
When Nicolas Aube-Kubel has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Nicolas Aube-Kubel better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.