Draw Duel
Tyler Pitlick faceoff stats, 2025-26
MIN · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
—
Only 20 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.
2025-26 FO%
0.0%
0 won of 3 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
0.0% / —
3 strong-side, 0 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Pitlick wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 and 2023-24 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 0 | 0 | — |
| OZ right | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ right (att.) | 4 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Centre | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ right (def.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| DZ left | 0 | 0 | — |
| DZ right | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R30.0%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L30.0%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R30.7%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L30.9%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L31.1%
- Jack Drury NSH · L31.2%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L50.3%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L49.9%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L48.8%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L47.0%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L46.7%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R46.6%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 0.0% 3 | 0.0% 3 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | 0.0% 2 | 0.0% 3 | — 0 |
| 2023-24 | 17.6% 17 | 18.8% 16 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | 37.5% 8 | 0.0% 6 | 0.0% 3 | 20.0% 15 | — 0 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 0–2 | 0.0% | 37.6% | 37.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Erik Haula | 0–2 | 0.0% | 38.0% | 37.8% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Anze Kopitar | 0–2 | 0.0% | 30.7% | 30.6% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Max Domi | 0–1 | 0.0% | 38.8% | 38.8% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Pavel Zacha | 0–1 | 0.0% | 36.2% | 36.1% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 0–1 | 0.0% | 36.2% | 36.1% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Noel Acciari | 1–0 | 100.0% | 41.4% | 41.5% | a bit unusual (z 1.2) |
| Kevin Stenlund | 0–1 | 0.0% | 41.9% | 41.9% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Ryan Lomberg | 0–1 | 0.0% | 50.7% | 50.6% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Auston Matthews | 0–1 | 0.0% | 31.6% | 31.5% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Marco Rossi | 1–0 | 100.0% | 40.3% | 40.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.2) |
| Dawson Mercer | 0–1 | 0.0% | 45.3% | 45.2% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | @ VAN | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-04 | @ CGY | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-23 | @ WPG | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2024-02-07 | vs TBL | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2023-12-29 | @ FLA | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2023-12-22 | vs EDM | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 2023-12-19 | @ TOR | 0 | 3 | 0.0% |
| 2023-12-10 | vs LAK | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 2023-11-25 | vs BOS | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2023-11-22 | @ PIT | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Tyler Pitlick's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Tyler Pitlick's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Tyler Pitlick win tonight?
When Tyler Pitlick has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Tyler Pitlick better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.