Draw Duel

Tyson Gross faceoff stats, 2025-26

CGY · C · Right shot · full player page

Model rating

42.6%

90%: 36.6%–48.9% vs an average regular, on 53 draws since 2023-24

2025-26 FO%

50.9%

27 won of 53 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

42.9% / 57.9%

28 strong-side, 19 weak-side draws this season

Next game

No projection scheduled.

Where Gross wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.

Show as a table

Tyson Gross faceoff win % by dot
Dot	Draws	Won	FO%
OZ left	5	3	60.0%
OZ right	8	3	37.5%
NZ left (att.)	1	0	0.0%
NZ right (att.)	1	1	100.0%
Centre	6	4	66.7%
NZ left (def.)	4	3	75.0%
NZ right (def.)	1	0	0.0%
DZ left	9	5	55.6%
DZ right	18	8	44.4%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Claude Giroux OTT · R34.6%
Aatu Räty VAN · L34.8%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R35.5%
J.T. Miller NYR · L35.8%
Auston Matthews TOR · L36.0%
Vincent Trocheck UTA · R36.0%

Easiest

Jack Hughes NJD · L55.7%
Noah Ostlund BUF · L55.4%
Trevor Zegras PHI · L54.2%
Danila Yurov MIN · L52.5%
Pavel Buchnevich STL · L52.2%
Calum Ritchie NYI · R52.0%

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
Season	All	EV	PP	PK	OZ	NZ	DZ	Strong	Weak
2025-26	50.9% 53	43.2% 44	100.0% 2	85.7% 7	46.2% 13	61.5% 13	48.1% 27	42.9% 28	57.9% 19

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
Opponent	Record	Raw	Model	Blended	Unusual?
Aatu Räty	2–5	28.6%	35.0%	34.9%	normal luck (z -0.4)
Oscar Fisker Molgaard	1–5	16.7%	53.7%	53.2%	a bit unusual (z -1.8)
Gabriel Landeskog	3–3	50.0%	40.8%	40.9%	normal luck (z 0.5)
Brock Nelson	3–1	75.0%	43.9%	44.1%	a bit unusual (z 1.3)
Nick Paul	2–2	50.0%	41.5%	41.6%	normal luck (z 0.3)
Jack Drury	2–2	50.0%	35.7%	35.8%	normal luck (z 0.6)
Matty Beniers	1–2	33.3%	45.6%	45.5%	normal luck (z -0.4)
Kevin Stenlund	2–1	66.7%	34.7%	34.9%	a bit unusual (z 1.2)
Ross Colton	2–0	100.0%	44.3%	44.5%	a bit unusual (z 1.6)
Alexander Kerfoot	1–1	50.0%	44.1%	44.1%	normal luck (z 0.2)
Curtis Douglas	1–0	100.0%	53.8%	53.9%	normal luck (z 0.9)
Linus Karlsson	1–0	100.0%	50.2%	50.3%	normal luck (z 1.0)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
Date	Opp	FOW	Draws	FO%
2026-04-14	vs COL	4	10	40.0%
2026-04-12	vs UTA	5	8	62.5%
2026-04-11	@ SEA	3	10	30.0%
2026-04-09	@ COL	8	10	80.0%
2026-03-28	vs VAN	4	10	40.0%
2026-03-22	vs TBL	3	5	60.0%

Projected faceoffs won

No upcoming games projected.

FAQ

What is Tyson Gross's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Tyson Gross's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Tyson Gross win tonight?

When Tyson Gross has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Tyson Gross better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.