Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.
Adrian Kempe has the better number in 25 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Luck Meter +49, On-ice PDO 1027.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 52.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.029, Faceoffs won 789.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Kempe 9–8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.11
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.89 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 9G 4A, 39 SOG · Larkin 6G 5A, 46 SOG
Kempe's offensive zone 2–3 · neutral 5–3 · Kempe's defensive zone 1–3 (2017-18 to 2023-24)
Kempe blocked 0 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 2 of Kempe's.
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
9:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–20
- 20.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–1.2
- 16.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | LAK 3–1 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-10-30 | LAK 3–4 DET | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-27 | LAK 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2024-11-16 | LAK 4–1 DET | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-13 | LAK 3–5 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-04 | LAK 3–4 DET | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-11-12 | LAK 4–3 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-17 | LAK 5–4 DET | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2022-02-02 | LAK 5–3 DET | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-01-08 | LAK 4–0 DET | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-12-15 | LAK 4–2 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-11-14 | LAK 3–2 DET | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COLOpp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 25 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Larkin done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 11–5. Kempe had 13 points (9 goals) and Larkin had 11 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Larkin?
- Against each other, Kempe has won 8 and Larkin 9 of their 17 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →