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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Brandon Hagel

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brandon Hagel's 2.15.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Hagel had 74 in 71 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hagel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Hagel's 1.8.

Brandon Hagel has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Power-play time per game 3:17, Power-play points 23.

Hagel's biggest edges: Ascension score 58, Scoring chances 58.3%, High-danger chances 59.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Brandon Hagel

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatHagel
Goals (+2)0.940.95
Assists (+1)0.500.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.30
Hits (+0.1)0.070.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.25

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Hagel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatHagel
8Team record in 14 meetings6
15Points in those games12

DeBrincat 7G 8A, 39 SOG · Hagel 6G 6A, 36 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

DeBrincat blocked 0 of Hagel's shots; Hagel blocked 1 of DeBrincat's.

3Goals set up by the other4

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

15:11 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
19–18
51.4%
Expected goals
0.7–0.7
51.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Brandon Hagel
DateScoreDeBrincatHagel
2026-03-12DET 1–4 TBL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-28DET 3–6 TBL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2025-10-17DET 2–1 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-04-11DET 4–3 TBL0G 1A 2S0G 2A 3S
2025-02-08DET 3–6 TBL1G 2A 4S2G 2A 3S
2025-01-25DET 2–0 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-18DET 1–5 TBL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-01DET 4–2 TBL0G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-21DET 2–1 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-14DET 6–4 TBL2G 1A 5S1G 1A 4S
2023-04-08OTT 7–4 TBL1G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-03-23OTT 7–2 TBL2G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatHagel

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Brandon Hagel

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Brandon Hagel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brandon Hagel's 2.15. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Hagel had 74 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Brandon Hagel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Hagel done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 8–6. DeBrincat had 15 points (7 goals) and Hagel had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →