Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs John Tavares
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Tavares had 71 in 82 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tavares has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.
Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Transition attempts /60 1.78, Fenwick 53.8%.
Tavares's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 801, Hits 74, Penalty minutes 28.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
John Tavares
1.80
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 0.67 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Tavares
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 6G 11A, 67 SOG · Tavares 13G 13A, 59 SOG
DeBrincat's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 2–0 (2019-20 to 2023-24)
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
22:01 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 29–19
- 60.4%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–0.5
- 72.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Tavares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | DET 2–1 TOR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-28 | DET 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-10-13 | DET 3–2 TOR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | DET 6–3 TOR | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-17 | DET 3–4 TOR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-27 | DET 2–5 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2024-12-14 | DET 4–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-08 | DET 1–3 TOR | 0G 1A 4S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-13 | DET 5–4 TOR | 2G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-01-14 | DET 4–2 TOR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-17 | DET 2–3 TOR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2023-04-01 | OTT 0–3 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
John Tavares
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or John Tavares in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Tavares had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or John Tavares?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Tavares done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 12–11. DeBrincat had 17 points (6 goals) and Tavares had 26 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or Tavares?
- Against each other, DeBrincat has won 2 and Tavares 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →