Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.20.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.20, Blocked shots 39.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Scoring chances 59.3%, Faceoffs won 681.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 5G 3A, 73 SOG · MacKinnon 12G 23A, 110 SOG
DeBrincat's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18)
DeBrincat blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of DeBrincat's.
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
9:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–9
- 59.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.4
- 66.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | DET 2–0 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2026-01-31 | DET 0–5 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2025-03-25 | DET 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-07 | DET 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 9S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-06 | DET 2–7 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 3A 8S |
| 2024-02-22 | DET 2–1 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 11S |
| 2023-03-16 | OTT 4–5 COL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 3A 6S |
| 2023-01-14 | OTT 0–7 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2022-01-24 | CHI 0–2 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-01-04 | CHI 3–4 COL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2019-12-21 | CHI 5–3 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-12-18 | CHI 1–4 COL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.20. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 7–16. DeBrincat had 8 points (5 goals) and MacKinnon had 35 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, DeBrincat has won 1 and MacKinnon 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →