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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Anthony Cirelli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Cirelli had 52 in 71 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Cirelli has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Cirelli's 1.2.

Alex Tuch has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.44, Hardest shot 89.3, Shots on goal 195.

Cirelli's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.37, Faceoffs won 518, Scoring chances 55.6%.

Head to head on the dot, Cirelli leads Tuch 9–5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Anthony Cirelli

1.67

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchCirelli
Goals (+2)1.030.61
Assists (+1)0.390.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.18
Hits (+0.1)0.100.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs Cirelli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchCirelli
8Team record in 14 meetings6
9Points in those games9

Tuch 6G 3A, 38 SOG · Cirelli 1G 8A, 19 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other9

Tuch's offensive zone 2–3 · neutral 1–3 · Tuch's defensive zone 2–3 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other1

Tuch blocked 0 of Cirelli's shots; Cirelli blocked 1 of Tuch's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)

6:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side

Shot attempts
8–9
47.1%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
46.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Tuch and Anthony Cirelli
DateScoreTuchCirelli
2026-03-08BUF 8–7 TBL2G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2026-02-28BUF 6–2 TBL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-13BUF 4–7 TBL1G 0A 1S0G 2A 4S
2025-04-05BUF 3–2 TBL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-06BUF 5–6 TBL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-15BUF 4–2 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-29BUF 3–2 TBL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-20BUF 1–3 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-10-17BUF 3–2 TBL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-02-23BUF 6–5 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2022-04-10BUF 0–5 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2020-02-04VGK 2–4 TBL0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchCirelli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Anthony Cirelli

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Anthony Cirelli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Cirelli had 52 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Anthony Cirelli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tuch and Cirelli done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 8–6. Tuch had 9 points (6 goals) and Cirelli had 9 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Cirelli?
Against each other, Tuch has won 5 and Cirelli 9 of their 14 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →