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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Brady Tkachuk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tkachuk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Tkachuk's 2.3.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.0, On-ice PDO 1044, Blocked shots 90.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.42, Scoring chances 61.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchTkachuk
Goals (+2)1.030.65
Assists (+1)0.390.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.35
Hits (+0.1)0.100.29
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchTkachuk
11Team record in 18 meetings7
12Points in those games10

Tuch 2G 10A, 46 SOG · Tkachuk 5G 5A, 84 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other3

Tuch's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Tuch's defensive zone 2–3 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other2
2Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)

4:03 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side

Shot attempts
1–6
14.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
40.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Tuch and Brady Tkachuk
DateScoreTuchTkachuk
2026-04-02BUF 1–4 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-23BUF 3–2 OTT0G 1A 3S0G 0A 6S
2025-03-25BUF 3–2 OTT0G 0A 0S1G 0A 9S
2025-01-09BUF 4–0 OTT0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-05BUF 5–1 OTT0G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-27BUF 2–6 OTT0G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2024-01-11BUF 5–3 OTT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2023-12-31BUF 1–5 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-24BUF 6–4 OTT1G 1A 3S0G 0A 6S
2023-04-13BUF 4–3 OTT0G 1A 5S0G 1A 6S
2023-01-01BUF 1–3 OTT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2022-11-16BUF 1–4 OTT0G 1A 1S1G 0A 6S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Brady Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Brady Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tuch and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 11–7. Tuch had 12 points (2 goals) and Tkachuk had 10 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Tkachuk?
Against each other, Tuch has won 2 and Tkachuk 3 of their 5 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →