Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Offensive-zone start % 59.1%, Transition attempts /60 1.44.
Wilson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.51, Scoring chances 56.3%, Offensive-zone time 42.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 8G 4A, 42 SOG · Wilson 10G 4A, 28 SOG
Tuch blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Tuch's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
2:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–1
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.0
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
On the ice together
6:50 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 3–6
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.1
- 86.7%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | BUF 2–6 WSH | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-01 | BUF 4–3 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-30 | BUF 8–5 WSH | 2G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-06 | BUF 4–3 WSH | 2G 0A 3S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-14 | BUF 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-11 | BUF 4–2 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-22 | BUF 3–4 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-15 | BUF 4–5 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-25 | BUF 3–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2018-12-04 | VGK 5–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2018-06-07 · PO | VGK 3–4 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2018-06-04 · PO | VGK 2–6 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tom Wilson's 2.24. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Wilson done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 8–9. Tuch had 12 points (8 goals) and Wilson had 14 (10 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →