Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Stamkos's 2.0.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Plus/minus +4, Transition attempts /60 2.80, Fenwick 59.6%.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Top skating speed 23.0, 20+ mph bursts 124.
Head to head on the dot, Stamkos leads Tkachuk 16–13.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 12G 10A, 69 SOG · Stamkos 7G 11A, 56 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 11–12 · neutral 1–3 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 1–1 (2018-19 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
5:13 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–6
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.7
- 17.4%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | OTT 3–5 NSH | 1G 0A 1S | 3G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-13 | OTT 1–4 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-03 | OTT 5–2 NSH | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-07 | OTT 3–1 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-11 | OTT 3–2 TBL | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-19 | OTT 4–2 TBL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-04 | OTT 4–6 TBL | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-04-08 | OTT 7–4 TBL | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-03-23 | OTT 7–2 TBL | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2022-11-01 | OTT 3–4 TBL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 8S |
| 2022-03-01 | OTT 2–5 TBL | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-12-16 | OTT 1–2 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 9–11. Tkachuk had 22 points (12 goals) and Stamkos had 18 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 13 and Stamkos 16 of their 29 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →