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Who to start · 2025-26

Carter Verhaeghe vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50.

Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Verhaeghe has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Verhaeghe's 1.6.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Verhaeghe's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.78, Hits 68, 20+ mph bursts 180.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Faceoff win % 55.1%, Plus/minus +8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Verhaeghe

1.50

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVerhaegheO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.570.58
Assists (+1)0.400.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Verhaeghe vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VerhaegheO'Reilly
9Team record in 17 meetings8
19Points in those games12

Verhaeghe 10G 9A, 46 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 8A, 44 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other0

Verhaeghe's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 0–0 · Verhaeghe's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2023-24)

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other2

Verhaeghe blocked 1 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 2 of Verhaeghe's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Verhaeghe's side)

3:07 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Verhaeghe's side

Shot attempts
2–7
22.2%
Expected goals
0.1–0.6
16.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Carter Verhaeghe and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreVerhaegheO'Reilly
2025-12-04FLA 1–2 NSH1G 0A 5S1G 1A 4S
2025-11-24FLA 8–3 NSH1G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-25FLA 4–1 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-07FLA 6–2 NSH2G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-21FLA 0–3 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 2A 3S
2024-01-22FLA 4–1 NSH1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-05-12 · POFLA 3–2 TOR1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-05-10 · POFLA 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-05-07 · POFLA 3–2 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-05-04 · POFLA 3–2 TOR0G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2023-05-02 · POFLA 4–2 TOR1G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-04-10FLA 1–2 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VerhaegheO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Carter Verhaeghe

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Carter Verhaeghe or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Carter Verhaeghe's 1.50. Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Carter Verhaeghe or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Verhaeghe and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Verhaeghe's team went 9–8. Verhaeghe had 19 points (10 goals) and O'Reilly had 12 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Verhaeghe or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Verhaeghe has won 2 and O'Reilly 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →