Who to start · 2025-26
Dougie Hamilton vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.71.
Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Hamilton has no games left; Hertl has 1 left. We project Hertl for 1.9 ESPN points to Hamilton's 0.0.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hamilton's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.4, Transition attempts /60 1.42, Forecheck xG /60 0.28.
Hertl's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Blocked shots 45, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.06.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dougie Hamilton
1.71
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hamilton | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.39 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.53 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hamilton 2G 3A, 58 SOG · Hertl 5G 5A, 30 SOG
Hamilton blocked 1 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 2 of Hamilton's.
On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)
10:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–17
- 37.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.6
- 24.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hamilton | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | NJD 2–1 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-12-05 | NJD 0–3 VGK | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-02 | NJD 0–2 VGK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-06 | NJD 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-16 | NJD 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-22 | NJD 2–1 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-30 | NJD 2–5 SJS | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-12-05 | CAR 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-10-16 | CAR 2–5 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2018-12-05 | CAR 1–5 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2018-10-26 | CAR 4–3 SJS | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2018-03-24 | CGY 1–5 SJS | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dougie Hamilton
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYIOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.9 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.71. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hamilton and Hertl done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 5–10. Hamilton had 5 points (2 goals) and Hertl had 10 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →