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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Cozens vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Cozens's 1.90.

Cozens had 59 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Cozens has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Cozens's 1.4.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 24 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Cozens's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.001, Hits 215, High-danger chances 60.0%.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Plus/minus +57, Luck Meter +52.

Head to head on the dot, Cozens leads MacKinnon 21–13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Cozens

1.90

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCozensMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.681.32
Assists (+1)0.380.93
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.44
Hits (+0.1)0.260.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Cozens vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CozensMacKinnon
2Team record in 9 meetings7
6Points in those games19

Cozens 2G 4A, 19 SOG · MacKinnon 7G 12A, 40 SOG

21Faceoffs against each other13

Cozens's offensive zone 4–2 · neutral 9–7 · Cozens's defensive zone 8–4 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Cozens's side)

3:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cozens's side

Shot attempts
7–3
70.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
67.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Cozens and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreCozensMacKinnon
2026-01-28OTT 5–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-08OTT 2–8 COL0G 0A 3S1G 3A 5S
2025-03-20OTT 1–5 COL1G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2025-01-02BUF 5–6 COL0G 1A 1S0G 3A 3S
2024-12-03BUF 4–5 COL0G 1A 1S2G 1A 9S
2023-12-13BUF 1–5 COL0G 0A 4S0G 2A 2S
2023-10-29BUF 4–0 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-01BUF 4–6 COL1G 2A 1S2G 3A 8S
2022-02-19BUF 3–5 COL0G 0A 4S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CozensMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Cozens

1games

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.4 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Cozens or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Cozens's 1.90. Cozens had 59 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Cozens or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 24 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cozens and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Cozens's team went 2–7. Cozens had 6 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 19 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Cozens or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Cozens has won 21 and MacKinnon 13 of their 34 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →