Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Justin Faulk
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Faulk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Faulk's 1.8.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Fenwick 50.7%, Corsi 50.5%.
Faulk's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043, Luck Meter +62, Goals above expected +6.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Justin Faulk
1.91
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Faulk |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.41 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.85 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Faulk
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 5G 9A, 27 SOG · Faulk 1G 6A, 36 SOG
Larkin blocked 1 of Faulk's shots; Faulk blocked 4 of Larkin's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
10:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–15
- 42.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.7
- 50.4%
- Goals
- 1–1
On the ice together
42:34 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26
- Shot attempts
- 27–46
- 37.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–2.5
- 22.5%
- Goals
- 2–4
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Faulk |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | DET 5–2 STL | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-25 | DET 6–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-04-01 | DET 1–2 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-23 | DET 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-23 | DET 3–4 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-21 | DET 3–2 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-24 | DET 4–2 STL | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-10-27 | DET 4–5 STL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2018-12-20 | DET 4–1 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2018-11-10 | DET 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2018-10-22 | DET 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2018-02-24 | DET 3–1 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Justin Faulk
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Justin Faulk in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Justin Faulk?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Faulk done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 8–6. Larkin had 14 points (5 goals) and Faulk had 7 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →