Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Parker Kelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Kelly has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 18 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 3:13, Power-play share 66.3%, Faceoff win % 52.9%.
Kelly's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.5%, Scoring chances 58.5%, Forecheck xG /60 0.46.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Parker Kelly
1.39
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.51 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.17 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 2G 5A, 26 SOG · Kelly 1G 2A, 10 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Larkin's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
3:47 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–8
- 20.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 26.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | DET 2–0 COL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-31 | DET 0–5 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-25 | DET 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-07 | DET 1–2 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-31 | DET 2–3 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-09 | DET 1–5 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-16 | DET 4–5 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-21 | DET 5–2 OTT | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-31 | DET 4–2 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-17 | DET 3–6 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-04-12 | DET 1–4 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Parker Kelly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 18 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Kelly done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 3–8. Larkin had 7 points (2 goals) and Kelly had 3 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Kelly?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 1 and Kelly 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →