Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 18 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Blocked shots 33, Top skating speed 22.5, Goals above expected −0.5.
Aho's biggest edges: Scoring chances 57.5%, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.
Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Larkin 70–54.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.03
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.68 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 6G 12A, 74 SOG · Aho 12G 15A, 67 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 19–15 · neutral 15–17 · Larkin's defensive zone 20–38 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Larkin blocked 0 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
10:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–17
- 34.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.9
- 17.3%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | DET 2–5 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-12 | DET 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-12-27 | DET 2–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-04 | DET 5–3 CAR | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-03-14 | DET 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-04 | DET 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-28 | DET 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2024-01-19 | DET 2–4 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-30 | DET 3–2 CAR | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-04-14 | DET 3–0 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-01 | DET 4–3 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2021-04-12 | DET 3–1 CAR | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.8 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 18 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Aho done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 13–12. Larkin had 18 points (6 goals) and Aho had 27 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Aho?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 54 and Aho 70 of their 124 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →