Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left; Thompson has 1 left. We project Thompson for 2.4 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.1.
Tage Thompson has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 52.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.029, Plus/minus +3.
Thompson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.008, Offensive-zone start % 60.8%, On-ice PDO 1014.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Thompson 51–22.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.38
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 12G 12A, 63 SOG · Thompson 12G 10A, 68 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 19–5 · neutral 16–7 · Larkin's defensive zone 16–10 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
14:44 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–16
- 40.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–1.3
- 21.8%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | DET 5–2 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-15 | DET 4–5 BUF | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2025-10-22 | DET 2–4 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-03-12 | DET 7–3 BUF | 0G 3A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-12-09 | DET 6–5 BUF | 0G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-02 | DET 2–1 BUF | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-26 | DET 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 2G 1A 6S |
| 2024-04-07 | DET 3–1 BUF | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-05 | DET 5–3 BUF | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-04-06 | DET 6–7 BUF | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2022-12-29 | DET 3–6 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-30 | DET 4–5 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYRSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Thompson done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 9–10. Larkin had 24 points (12 goals) and Thompson had 22 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Thompson?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 51 and Thompson 22 of their 73 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →