Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Ascension score 57, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.
Aho's biggest edges: Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 1G 1A, 35 SOG · Aho 6G 8A, 54 SOG
Tolvanen blocked 2 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
16:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–22
- 31.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.9
- 45.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | SEA 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-10 | SEA 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-03 | SEA 4–2 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-26 | SEA 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-26 | SEA 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-02-18 | NSH 3–5 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2021-10-16 | NSH 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-05-25 · PO | NSH 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-05-23 · PO | NSH 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2021-05-21 · PO | NSH 5–4 CAR | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 2A 7S |
| 2021-05-19 · PO | NSH 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2021-05-08 | NSH 3–1 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RW
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RW
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to C
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Aho done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 6–10. Tolvanen had 2 points (1 goals) and Aho had 14 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →