Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stamkos has 1 left. We project Stamkos for 1.6 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.2.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.47, Blocked shots 81, Ascension score 57.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.8, Forecheck xG /60 0.43, High-danger chances 53.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 2G 1A, 28 SOG · Stamkos 6G 7A, 42 SOG
Tolvanen's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Tolvanen's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
Tolvanen blocked 1 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
19:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–26
- 38.1%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.7
- 58.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | SEA 2–4 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-01 | SEA 4–1 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-06 | SEA 3–5 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-20 | SEA 3–0 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-15 | SEA 7–3 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-30 | SEA 4–3 TBL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-16 | SEA 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-11-19 | NSH 2–3 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-02-26 | NSH 2–3 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2021-03-15 | NSH 4–1 TBL | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-03-13 | NSH 3–6 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-02-08 | NSH 1–4 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.6 ptsSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 6–8. Tolvanen had 3 points (2 goals) and Stamkos had 13 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tolvanen or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Tolvanen has won 0 and Stamkos 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →