Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Filip Hronek vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Hronek has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Morgan Rielly has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hronek's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.6, Hits 133, Ice-time share 41.1%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.28, Top skating speed 22.7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHronekRielly
Goals (+2)0.170.25
Assists (+1)0.680.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.17
Hits (+0.1)0.140.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.710.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hronek vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HronekRielly
3Team record in 16 meetings13
11Points in those games17

Hronek 4G 7A, 26 SOG · Rielly 3G 14A, 44 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other1

Hronek blocked 2 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 1 of Hronek's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Hronek's side)

6:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hronek's side

Shot attempts
4–5
44.4%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
35.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Filip Hronek and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreHronekRielly
2026-01-31VAN 2–3 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-10VAN 0–5 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-08VAN 2–1 TOR1G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-01-20VAN 6–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 10S
2023-11-11VAN 2–5 TOR0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-01-12DET 4–1 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-07DET 1–4 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 2A 3S
2022-02-26DET 7–10 TOR1G 3A 4S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-26DET 0–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2022-01-29DET 4–7 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2021-10-30DET 4–5 TOR1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2019-12-21DET 1–4 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HronekRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Filip Hronek or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Hronek had 49 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Filip Hronek or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hronek and Rielly done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Hronek's team went 3–13. Hronek had 11 points (4 goals) and Rielly had 17 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →