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Who to start · 2025-26

Ian Cole vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ian Cole's 1.30.

Cole had 23 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Cole has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Cole for 1.5 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Morgan Rielly has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Cole's biggest edges: Plus/minus +16, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.019, Expected goals 52.2%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Ascension score 60, Power-play time per game 2:17, Power-play share 59.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ian Cole

1.30

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Morgan Rielly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromColeRielly
Goals (+2)0.060.25
Assists (+1)0.220.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.070.17
Hits (+0.1)0.080.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.870.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Cole vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ColeRielly
8Team record in 21 meetings13
9Points in those games17

Cole 1G 8A, 19 SOG · Rielly 3G 14A, 59 SOG

4Shots blocked by the other0

Cole blocked 4 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 0 of Cole's.

On the ice against each other (Cole's side)

6:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cole's side

Shot attempts
5–5
50.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
34.4%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Ian Cole and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreColeRielly
2026-01-13UTA 6–1 TOR0G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2025-11-05UTA 3–5 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-10UTA 3–4 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-24UTA 2–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-20VAN 6–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 10S
2023-11-11VAN 2–5 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2023-04-29 · POTBL 1–2 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-27 · POTBL 4–2 TOR0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2023-04-24 · POTBL 4–5 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2023-04-22 · POTBL 3–4 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2023-04-20 · POTBL 2–7 TOR1G 0A 1S0G 4A 2S
2023-04-18 · POTBL 7–3 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ColeRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ian Cole

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF1.5 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Ian Cole or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ian Cole's 1.30. Cole had 23 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ian Cole or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cole and Rielly done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Cole's team went 8–13. Cole had 9 points (1 goals) and Rielly had 17 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →