Who to start · 2025-26
Jack Hughes vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.
Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Hughes has 1 game left; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hughes for 2.3 ESPN points to Marner's 2.3.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Hughes's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.60, 20+ mph bursts 128, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.
Marner's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, Goals above expected +2.1, Penalty minutes 24.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jack Hughes
2.55
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hughes | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.95 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hughes vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hughes 2G 5A, 40 SOG · Marner 5G 11A, 26 SOG
Hughes blocked 1 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 1 of Hughes's.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hughes | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-16 | NJD 3–4 TOR | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-12-10 | NJD 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-10 | NJD 2–4 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-07 | NJD 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-23 | NJD 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-17 | NJD 3–2 TOR | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-23 | NJD 2–3 TOR | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-01 | NJD 1–7 TOR | 1G 0A 3S | 2G 2A 7S |
| 2022-01-31 | NJD 4–6 TOR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2020-01-14 | NJD 4–7 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2019-12-27 | NJD 4–5 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jack Hughes
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jack Hughes or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jack Hughes or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hughes and Marner done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 1–10. Hughes had 7 points (2 goals) and Marner had 16 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →