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Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Hughes for 2.6 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.6.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Fenwick 55.3%, Plus/minus 0, Corsi 55.9%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.4, On-ice PDO 1002, Hits 35.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesRielly
Goals (+2)0.950.25
Assists (+1)0.770.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.17
Hits (+0.1)0.010.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesRielly
3Team record in 12 meetings9
10Points in those games4

Hughes 5G 5A, 49 SOG · Rielly 0G 4A, 23 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other3

Hughes blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 3 of Hughes's.

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

10:43 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
16–16
50.0%
Expected goals
0.7–1.1
40.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Jack Hughes and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreHughesRielly
2026-03-04NJD 4–3 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-30NJD 0–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-21NJD 5–2 TOR3G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-16NJD 3–4 TOR1G 2A 5S0G 0A 7S
2024-12-10NJD 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-10NJD 2–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-07NJD 3–4 TOR0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-17NJD 3–2 TOR0G 1A 6S0G 1A 4S
2022-03-23NJD 2–3 TOR0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-01NJD 1–7 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-31NJD 4–6 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 2A 3S
2019-12-27NJD 4–5 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.6 pts

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Rielly done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 3–9. Hughes had 10 points (5 goals) and Rielly had 4 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →