Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jake McCabe vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

McCabe had 25 points in 80 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week McCabe has 1 game left; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to McCabe's 1.7.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McCabe's biggest edges: Hits 104, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 190.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.9%, Corsi 60.6%, Fenwick 61.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake McCabe

1.75

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake McCabe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcCabeEhlers
Goals (+2)0.110.56
Assists (+1)0.220.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.100.26
Hits (+0.1)0.130.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.190.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McCabe vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McCabeEhlers
6Team record in 15 meetings9
6Points in those games10

McCabe 0G 6A, 9 SOG · Ehlers 4G 6A, 35 SOG

2Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other1

McCabe blocked 2 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 1 of McCabe's.

On the ice against each other (McCabe's side)

14:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McCabe's side

Shot attempts
8–15
34.8%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
46.0%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Jake McCabe and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreMcCabeEhlers
2026-03-20TOR 3–4 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-04TOR 5–1 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-09TOR 4–5 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 2A 5S
2024-12-23TOR 2–5 WPG0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-28TOR 6–4 WPG0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-27TOR 4–2 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-24TOR 1–0 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-11CHI 1–4 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-03-20CHI 4–6 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2021-11-05CHI 1–5 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2020-03-03BUF 1–3 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2020-02-23BUF 2–1 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McCabeEhlers

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake McCabe

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Jake McCabe or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. McCabe had 25 points in 80 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake McCabe or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McCabe and Ehlers done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, McCabe's team went 6–9. McCabe had 6 points (0 goals) and Ehlers had 10 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →