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Who to start · 2025-26

John Carlson vs Viktor Arvidsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72.

Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games.

This week Carlson has no games left; Arvidsson has 1 left. We project Arvidsson for 1.9 ESPN points to Carlson's 0.0.

John Carlson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carlson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.32, High-danger chances 54.5%.

Arvidsson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.036, On-ice PDO 1065, Plus/minus +20.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Carlson

2.06

fantasy points per game

Viktor Arvidsson

1.72

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarlsonArvidsson
Goals (+2)0.350.68
Assists (+1)0.630.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.24
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.750.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carlson vs Arvidsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlsonArvidsson
4Team record in 12 meetings8
15Points in those games12

Carlson 1G 14A, 29 SOG · Arvidsson 5G 7A, 32 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Carlson blocked 1 of Arvidsson's shots; Arvidsson blocked 1 of Carlson's.

On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)

3:57 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side

Shot attempts
8–3
72.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
92.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between John Carlson and Viktor Arvidsson
DateScoreCarlsonArvidsson
2025-10-08WSH 1–3 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-23WSH 7–3 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-21WSH 3–2 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 5S
2022-10-22WSH 4–3 LAK1G 1A 8S1G 2A 2S
2021-12-19WSH 2–3 LAK0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-17WSH 2–0 LAK0G 2A 0S0G 0A 4S
2020-01-29WSH 4–5 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-10WSH 5–6 NSH0G 3A 1S0G 2A 1S
2019-01-15WSH 2–7 NSH0G 1A 0S3G 0A 6S
2018-12-31WSH 3–6 NSH0G 1A 0S1G 1A 3S
2018-04-05WSH 3–4 NSH0G 1A 8S0G 1A 4S
2017-11-14WSH 3–6 NSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlsonArvidsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Carlson

2games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Viktor Arvidsson

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWvs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start John Carlson or Viktor Arvidsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Carlson or Viktor Arvidsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carlson and Arvidsson done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 4–8. Carlson had 15 points (1 goals) and Arvidsson had 12 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →