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Who to start · 2025-26

John Tavares vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Tavares has 1 game left; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tavares for 1.7 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tavares's biggest edges: Power-play share 69.1%, Goals above expected −1.0, Goals 31.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Plus/minus +32, Transition attempts /60 0.80, Scoring chances 57.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

John Tavares

1.80

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Tavares has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTavaresEkholm
Goals (+2)0.670.13
Assists (+1)0.490.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.15
Hits (+0.1)0.090.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tavares vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TavaresEkholm
8Team record in 15 meetings7
13Points in those games10

Tavares 8G 5A, 43 SOG · Ekholm 3G 7A, 33 SOG

2Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other4

Tavares blocked 0 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 4 of Tavares's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)

8:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side

Shot attempts
6–11
35.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
51.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between John Tavares and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreTavaresEkholm
2026-02-03TOR 5–2 EDM1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-13TOR 3–6 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-16TOR 4–3 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-23TOR 6–3 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-16TOR 2–4 EDM0G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-11TOR 7–4 EDM2G 1A 4S1G 0A 4S
2023-03-01TOR 2–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-01-11TOR 2–1 NSH1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-19TOR 3–6 NSH0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2021-11-16TOR 3–0 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2020-01-27TOR 5–2 NSH0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2019-03-19TOR 0–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TavaresEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

John Tavares

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start John Tavares or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, John Tavares or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tavares and Ekholm done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 8–7. Tavares had 13 points (8 goals) and Ekholm had 10 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →