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Who to start · 2025-26

Lucas Raymond vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78.

Raymond had 76 points in 80 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Raymond has 1 game left; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Raymond's 2.0.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Raymond's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.93, Top skating speed 22.7, 20+ mph bursts 113.

Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, High-danger chances 59.0%, Scoring chances 55.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Lucas Raymond

1.78

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRaymondMarner
Goals (+2)0.590.52
Assists (+1)0.600.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.21
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Raymond vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RaymondMarner
4Team record in 16 meetings12
15Points in those games29

Raymond 7G 8A, 27 SOG · Marner 15G 14A, 47 SOG

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Raymond blocked 1 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of Raymond's.

On the ice against each other (Raymond's side)

13:33 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Raymond's side

Shot attempts
5–11
31.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.5
17.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Lucas Raymond and Mitch Marner
DateScoreRaymondMarner
2026-03-04DET 3–4 VGK0G 1A 2S1G 2A 1S
2025-11-04DET 0–1 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-17DET 3–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2024-12-27DET 2–5 TOR1G 0A 1S3G 0A 5S
2024-12-14DET 4–2 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2024-11-08DET 1–3 TOR0G 1A 0S1G 1A 3S
2024-04-13DET 5–4 TOR0G 1A 4S1G 2A 4S
2024-01-14DET 4–2 TOR1G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-11-17DET 2–3 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-01-12DET 4–1 TOR1G 2A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-07DET 1–4 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 1A 1S
2022-11-28DET 2–4 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RaymondMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Lucas Raymond

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Lucas Raymond or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78. Raymond had 76 points in 80 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Lucas Raymond or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Raymond and Marner done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Raymond's team went 4–12. Raymond had 15 points (7 goals) and Marner had 29 (15 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →