Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Knies vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.
Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week Knies has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Knies's biggest edges: Power-play share 68.8%, Power-play time per game 2:39, Ascension score 56.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, Faceoffs won 0, Expected goals 51.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Knies
2.06
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.
| Points per game from | Knies | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.80 | 0.44 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Knies vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Knies 3G 5A, 17 SOG · Samuelsson 4G 6A, 11 SOG
Knies blocked 1 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 2 of Knies's.
On the ice against each other (Knies's side)
26:09 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Knies's side
- Shot attempts
- 26–15
- 63.4%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.7
- 60.6%
- Goals
- 3–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Knies | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | CBJ 6–3 BUF | 2G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-27 | TOR 4–7 BUF | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 3A 0S |
| 2025-10-25 | TOR 4–3 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-24 | TOR 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-15 | TOR 4–0 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-20 | TOR 6–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-15 | TOR 5–3 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-21 | TOR 3–9 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Knies
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Knies or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Knies or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Knies and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Knies's team went 5–3. Knies had 8 points (3 goals) and Samuelsson had 10 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →