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Who to start · 2025-26

Mitch Marner vs Viktor Arvidsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72.

Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games.

This week Marner has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Arvidsson has 1 left. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Arvidsson's 2.0.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marner's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024.

Arvidsson's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.70, Hardest shot 94.6, Luck Meter +77.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Viktor Arvidsson

1.72

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarnerArvidsson
Goals (+2)0.520.68
Assists (+1)0.670.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.24
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.280.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marner vs Arvidsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarnerArvidsson
7Team record in 11 meetings4
10Points in those games8

Marner 3G 7A, 25 SOG · Arvidsson 5G 3A, 36 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Marner's side)

9:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side

Shot attempts
17–12
58.6%
Expected goals
0.7–0.7
51.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Mitch Marner and Viktor Arvidsson
DateScoreMarnerArvidsson
2026-01-22VGK 3–4 BOS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2025-10-16VGK 6–5 BOS0G 2A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-01TOR 4–3 EDM1G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-12-08TOR 5–0 LAK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-29TOR 2–4 LAK0G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2021-11-24TOR 6–2 LAK0G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2020-01-27TOR 5–2 NSH0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2019-03-19TOR 0–3 NSH0G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2019-01-07TOR 0–4 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2018-03-22TOR 5–2 NSH1G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2018-02-07TOR 3–2 NSH0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarnerArvidsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Viktor Arvidsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Mitch Marner or Viktor Arvidsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mitch Marner or Viktor Arvidsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marner and Arvidsson done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 7–4. Marner had 10 points (3 goals) and Arvidsson had 8 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →