Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Rielly vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Rielly has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rielly for 1.5 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Rielly's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 71, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.18, Faceoffs won 0.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.5, Expected goals 51.2%, High-danger chances 54.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Rielly
1.60
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rielly | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.28 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.73 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rielly vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rielly 4G 9A, 52 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 3G 10A, 40 SOG
Rielly blocked 1 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 3 of Rielly's.
On the ice against each other (Rielly's side)
2:50 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Rielly's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–5
- 37.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 43.3%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rielly | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | TOR 3–6 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-01 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-16 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-23 | TOR 6–3 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-16 | TOR 2–4 EDM | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-11 | TOR 7–4 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-03-01 | TOR 2–5 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-12-14 | TOR 5–1 EDM | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-03-29 | TOR 2–3 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-03-27 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-03-03 | TOR 6–1 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2021-03-01 | TOR 3–0 EDM | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Rielly or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Rielly or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rielly and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Rielly's team went 16–7. Rielly had 13 points (4 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 13 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →