Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Rielly vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Rielly has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rielly for 1.5 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Rielly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, 20+ mph bursts 71.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Expected goals 49.3%, Luck Meter +35.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Rielly
1.60
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Morgan Rielly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rielly | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.28 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.73 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rielly vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rielly 2G 6A, 30 SOG · Tarasenko 6G 10A, 47 SOG
Rielly blocked 6 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Rielly's.
On the ice against each other (Rielly's side)
10:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rielly's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–13
- 45.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.7
- 23.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rielly | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | TOR 4–2 MIN | 1G 0A 3S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-19 | TOR 3–6 MIN | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-17 | TOR 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-12-27 | TOR 5–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-14 | TOR 2–4 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-08 | TOR 3–1 DET | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-16 | TOR 2–5 FLA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-02-10 | TOR 3–5 OTT | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-27 | TOR 2–4 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-12-07 | TOR 4–3 OTT | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-08 | TOR 3–6 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-04-13 | TOR 3–2 NYR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Rielly or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Rielly or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
- How have Rielly and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Rielly's team went 6–11. Rielly had 8 points (2 goals) and Tarasenko had 16 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →