Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Viktor Arvidsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Arvidsson has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Arvidsson's 2.0.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Faceoffs won 681, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
Arvidsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.036, Hardest shot 94.6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Viktor Arvidsson
1.72
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Arvidsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.49 | 0.68 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.87 | 0.39 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.46 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Arvidsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 17G 17A, 105 SOG · Arvidsson 9G 7A, 73 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 2–1 (2017-18)
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
6:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–2
- 90.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.1
- 86.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Arvidsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | COL 2–3 BOS | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-18 | COL 4–1 BOS | 2G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-07 | COL 5–4 EDM | 1G 3A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | COL 3–4 EDM | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-08 | COL 4–3 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-09 | COL 2–5 LAK | 1G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2022-04-13 | COL 9–3 LAK | 3G 2A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-01-20 | COL 4–1 LAK | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2020-02-29 | COL 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2019-11-07 | COL 9–4 NSH | 1G 3A 10S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2019-02-23 | COL 5–0 NSH | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2019-01-21 | COL 1–4 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Viktor Arvidsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Viktor Arvidsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Viktor Arvidsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Arvidsson done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 10–12. MacKinnon had 34 points (17 goals) and Arvidsson had 16 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Arvidsson?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 2 and Arvidsson 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →