Who to start · 2025-26
Ryan O'Reilly vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week O'Reilly has 1 game left; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 1.8 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 1.7.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.2, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Luck Meter +52.
Harley's biggest edges: Hits 39, 20+ mph bursts 50, Transition attempts /60 0.36.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | O'Reilly | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.58 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.38 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: O'Reilly vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
O'Reilly 5G 12A, 26 SOG · Harley 0G 7A, 21 SOG
O'Reilly blocked 2 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 1 of O'Reilly's.
On the ice against each other (O'Reilly's side)
16:54 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from O'Reilly's side
- Shot attempts
- 21–13
- 61.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.5
- 60.1%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | O'Reilly | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NSH 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | NSH 4–5 DAL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-26 | NSH 2–3 DAL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-16 | NSH 5–1 DAL | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-03 | NSH 1–5 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-12 | NSH 4–1 DAL | 2G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-10 | NSH 3–4 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-02-15 | NSH 2–9 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-12 | NSH 6–3 DAL | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-06 | NSH 4–3 DAL | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | NSH 2–3 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-12-17 | STL 4–1 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.8 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ryan O'Reilly or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ryan O'Reilly or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have O'Reilly and Harley done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, O'Reilly's team went 5–7. O'Reilly had 17 points (5 goals) and Harley had 7 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →