Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Stamkos's 2.0.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Top skating speed 23.0, Luck Meter +24.
Head to head on the dot, Stamkos leads Aho 39–33.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.72 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.59 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 12G 13A, 78 SOG · Stamkos 11G 19A, 58 SOG
Aho's offensive zone 14–22 · neutral 8–5 · Aho's defensive zone 11–12 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Aho blocked 1 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 1 of Aho's.
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
5:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–12
- 29.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.9
- 25.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | CAR 4–1 NSH | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-06 | CAR 6–3 NSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-25 | CAR 1–3 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-23 | CAR 2–5 NSH | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-24 | CAR 2–8 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-11 | CAR 4–0 TBL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-24 | CAR 0–3 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-28 | CAR 0–4 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2023-03-05 | CAR 6–0 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-03 | CAR 4–3 TBL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-03-29 | CAR 3–4 TBL | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2022-03-22 | CAR 3–2 TBL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 32 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 32 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 13–19. Aho had 25 points (12 goals) and Stamkos had 30 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Aho has won 33 and Stamkos 39 of their 72 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →