Who to start · 2025-26
Tage Thompson vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
Thompson had 81 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Thompson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
Tage Thompson has the better number in 28 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Thompson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 176, Hardest shot 97.9, Faceoffs won 390.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Luck Meter +35, Forecheck xG /60 0.28.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tage Thompson
2.38
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Thompson | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.99 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.51 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Thompson vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Thompson 11G 8A, 56 SOG · Tarasenko 7G 5A, 39 SOG
Thompson blocked 0 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Thompson's.
On the ice against each other (Thompson's side)
5:48 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Thompson's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–2
- 71.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 64.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Thompson | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | BUF 4–5 MIN | 0G 1A 6S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-11-29 | BUF 3–2 MIN | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-12 | BUF 3–7 DET | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-09 | BUF 5–6 DET | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-02 | BUF 1–2 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-26 | BUF 5–3 DET | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-13 | BUF 2–3 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-11 | BUF 5–3 OTT | 2G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-31 | BUF 1–5 OTT | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-24 | BUF 6–4 OTT | 2G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-04-10 | BUF 3–2 NYR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-03-11 | BUF 1–2 NYR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tage Thompson or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Thompson had 81 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tage Thompson or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 28 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Thompson and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Thompson's team went 7–10. Thompson had 19 points (11 goals) and Tarasenko had 12 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →