Draw Duel

Justin Robidas faceoff stats, 2025-26

CAR · C · Right shot · full player page

Model rating

—

Only 42 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.

2025-26 FO%

50.0%

12 won of 24 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

57.1% / 57.1%

7 strong-side, 7 weak-side draws this season

Next game

No projection scheduled.

Where Robidas wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2025-26 and 2024-25 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.

Show as a table

Justin Robidas faceoff win % by dot
Dot	Draws	Won	FO%
OZ left	7	4	57.1%
OZ right	10	3	30.0%
NZ left (att.)	0	0	—
NZ right (att.)	1	1	100.0%
Centre	14	5	35.7%
NZ left (def.)	0	0	—
NZ right (def.)	1	1	100.0%
DZ left	3	2	66.7%
DZ right	6	4	66.7%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Claude Giroux OTT · R33.7%
Aatu Räty VAN · L33.8%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R34.5%
J.T. Miller NYR · L34.8%
Auston Matthews TOR · L35.0%
Jack Drury NSH · L35.0%

Easiest

Jack Hughes NJD · L54.6%
Noah Ostlund BUF · L54.3%
Trevor Zegras PHI · L53.1%
Danila Yurov MIN · L51.4%
Pavel Buchnevich STL · L51.1%
Calum Ritchie NYI · R50.9%

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
Season	All	EV	PP	PK	OZ	NZ	DZ	Strong	Weak
2025-26	50.0% 24	50.0% 24	— 0	— 0	44.4% 9	40.0% 10	80.0% 5	57.1% 7	57.1% 7
2024-25	44.4% 18	47.1% 17	— 0	0.0% 1	37.5% 8	50.0% 6	50.0% 4	45.5% 11	66.7% 3

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
Opponent	Record	Raw	Model	Blended	Unusual?
Jonathan Toews	3–4	42.9%	34.1%	34.3%	normal luck (z 0.5)
Tyler Motte	4–1	80.0%	44.4%	44.8%	a bit unusual (z 1.6)
Fraser Minten	1–3	25.0%	43.2%	43.1%	normal luck (z -0.7)
Sam Carrick	2–2	50.0%	37.3%	37.4%	normal luck (z 0.5)
John Beecher	1–3	25.0%	42.5%	42.3%	normal luck (z -0.7)
Morgan Barron	1–2	33.3%	43.1%	43.1%	normal luck (z -0.3)
Adam Lowry	1–2	33.3%	38.2%	38.2%	normal luck (z -0.2)
Noah Laba	1–1	50.0%	39.7%	39.7%	normal luck (z 0.3)
Vincent Trocheck	1–1	50.0%	37.6%	37.7%	normal luck (z 0.4)
Vladislav Namestnikov	2–0	100.0%	49.3%	49.5%	a bit unusual (z 1.4)
Marco Kasper	0–1	0.0%	41.9%	41.8%	normal luck (z -0.8)
Elias Lindholm	1–0	100.0%	37.5%	37.6%	a bit unusual (z 1.3)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
Date	Opp	FOW	Draws	FO%
2025-11-28	vs WPG	7	15	46.7%
2025-11-26	vs NYR	5	9	55.6%
2025-04-05	@ BOS	4	11	36.4%
2025-04-04	@ DET	4	7	57.1%

Projected faceoffs won

No upcoming games projected.

FAQ

What is Justin Robidas's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Justin Robidas's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Justin Robidas win tonight?

When Justin Robidas has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Justin Robidas better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.