Draw Duel
Noah Laba faceoff stats, 2025-26
NYR · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
49.0%
90%: 46.2%–51.8% vs an average regular, on 682 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
50.8%
331 won of 652 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
53.3% / 45.9%
319 strong-side, 183 weak-side draws this season
Next game
5.3 FOW
2026-10-04 vs UTA: 10 draws at 51.4%, range 2–9
Where Laba wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 47 | 21 | 44.7% |
| OZ right | 125 | 65 | 52.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 21 | 10 | 47.6% |
| NZ right (att.) | 18 | 11 | 61.1% |
| Centre | 150 | 77 | 51.3% |
| NZ left (def.) | 27 | 13 | 48.1% |
| NZ right (def.) | 28 | 16 | 57.1% |
| DZ left | 88 | 40 | 45.5% |
| DZ right | 148 | 78 | 52.7% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R40.5%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L40.8%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R41.5%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L41.8%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R42.0%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L42.1%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L61.9%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L61.6%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L60.4%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L58.8%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L58.5%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R58.2%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 40.0% 30 | 40.9% 22 | 100.0% 2 | 16.7% 6 | 66.7% 9 | 33.3% 6 | 26.7% 15 | 43.5% 23 | 20.0% 5 |
| 2025-26 | 50.8% 652 | 50.9% 585 | 42.9% 28 | 53.8% 39 | 50.0% 172 | 52.0% 244 | 50.0% 236 | 53.3% 319 | 45.9% 183 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 7–12 | 36.8% | 40.8% | 40.7% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Noah Cates | 8–10 | 44.4% | 55.0% | 54.6% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Mark Jankowski | 4–11 | 26.7% | 48.4% | 47.8% | a bit unusual (z -1.7) |
| Marco Kasper | 6–5 | 54.5% | 50.5% | 50.6% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Luke Kunin | 6–4 | 60.0% | 52.3% | 52.5% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Fraser Minten | 7–3 | 70.0% | 51.5% | 51.8% | a bit unusual (z 1.2) |
| J.T. Compher | 5–5 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 50.4% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Tomas Hertl | 7–2 | 77.8% | 45.3% | 45.9% | a bit unusual (z 2.0) |
| Ryan Strome | 4–5 | 44.4% | 52.0% | 51.9% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Sean Couturier | 4–5 | 44.4% | 44.0% | 44.0% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| Erik Haula | 4–5 | 44.4% | 49.0% | 48.9% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Jake Evans | 4–4 | 50.0% | 45.9% | 46.0% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | @ DET | 5 | 13 | 38.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | vs TBL | 3 | 10 | 30.0% |
| 2026-09-29 | @ BOS | 4 | 7 | 57.1% |
| 2026-04-15 | @ TBL | 2 | 8 | 25.0% |
| 2026-04-13 | @ FLA | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
| 2026-04-11 | @ DAL | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BUF | 6 | 8 | 75.0% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs WSH | 9 | 13 | 69.2% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 9 | 13 | 69.2% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs MTL | 3 | 11 | 27.3% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-04 vs UTA likely opponents: Vincent Trocheck (45%), Kevin Stenlund (49%)5.3 FOW 2–9
- 2026-10-06 vs NYI likely opponents: Bo Horvat (45%), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (44%)4.5 FOW 1–8
- 2026-10-09 vs WSH likely opponents: Dylan Strome (44%), Boone Jenner (46%)4.9 FOW 2–8
- 2026-10-11 vs VAN likely opponents: Elias Pettersson (53%), Aatu Räty (42%)5.0 FOW 2–8
FAQ
What is Noah Laba's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Noah Laba's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Noah Laba win tonight?
When Noah Laba has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Noah Laba better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.