Draw Duel
Vladislav Namestnikov faceoff stats, 2025-26
WPG · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
42.6%
90%: 40.1%–45.1% vs an average regular, on 1,648 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
40.9%
92 won of 225 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
45.2% / 30.9%
93 strong-side, 68 weak-side draws this season
Next game
2.7 FOW
2026-10-04 vs DET: 6 draws at 46.1%, range 0–5
Where Namestnikov wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 54 | 26 | 48.1% |
| OZ right | 28 | 11 | 39.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| NZ right (att.) | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Centre | 64 | 29 | 45.3% |
| NZ left (def.) | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| NZ right (def.) | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| DZ left | 21 | 9 | 42.9% |
| DZ right | 19 | 6 | 31.6% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R34.2%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L35.0%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R35.2%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R35.7%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L35.9%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L36.1%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L55.5%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L55.2%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L54.1%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L52.4%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L52.1%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R51.9%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 55.6% 9 | 62.5% 8 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | 0.0% 3 | 100.0% 4 | 50.0% 2 | 66.7% 3 | 0.0% 3 |
| 2025-26 | 40.9% 225 | 39.7% 194 | 55.6% 18 | 38.5% 13 | 45.1% 82 | 38.8% 103 | 37.5% 40 | 45.2% 93 | 30.9% 68 |
| 2024-25 | 46.1% 791 | 45.3% 730 | 54.9% 51 | 60.0% 10 | 48.2% 392 | 43.0% 251 | 45.9% 148 | 50.8% 427 | 38.6% 215 |
| 2023-24 | 36.3% 477 | 36.5% 394 | 37.3% 59 | 29.2% 24 | 37.6% 218 | 35.4% 161 | 34.7% 98 | 40.1% 222 | 34.3% 181 |
| Playoffs (all) | 37.0% 146 | 34.1% 129 | 66.7% 9 | 50.0% 8 | 38.2% 55 | 32.8% 58 | 42.4% 33 | 45.6% 68 | 35.3% 51 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Schenn | 12–24 | 33.3% | 40.5% | 40.0% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Robert Thomas | 16–19 | 45.7% | 41.2% | 41.5% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Matt Duchene | 14–14 | 50.0% | 41.1% | 41.6% | normal luck (z 1.0) |
| Radek Faksa | 6–20 | 23.1% | 39.2% | 38.4% | a bit unusual (z -1.7) |
| Oskar Sundqvist | 12–13 | 48.0% | 48.5% | 48.5% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Wyatt Johnston | 11–11 | 50.0% | 45.1% | 45.3% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Barrett Hayton | 6–11 | 35.3% | 41.7% | 41.5% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Chandler Stephenson | 10–6 | 62.5% | 45.8% | 46.3% | a bit unusual (z 1.3) |
| Roope Hintz | 8–7 | 53.3% | 40.6% | 40.9% | a bit unusual (z 1.0) |
| Michael McCarron | 6–8 | 42.9% | 39.3% | 39.4% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Tyler Seguin | 6–8 | 42.9% | 40.3% | 40.4% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Ryan Hartman | 7–6 | 53.8% | 47.1% | 47.3% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | vs BOS | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PHI | 1 | 6 | 16.7% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ STL | 6 | 8 | 75.0% |
| 2026-04-06 | vs SEA | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | @ VAN | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | vs MTL | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-02 | @ DAL | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | vs DET | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | vs FLA | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-20 | vs STL | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-04 vs DET likely opponents: Andrew Copp (42%), J.T. Compher (44%)2.7 FOW 0–5
- 2026-10-05 vs PIT likely opponents: Sidney Crosby (38%), Ben Kindel (49%)2.7 FOW 0–5
- 2026-10-07 vs COL likely opponents: Brock Nelson (46%), Nathan MacKinnon (44%)2.8 FOW 0–5
- 2026-10-09 vs ANA likely opponents: Tim Washe (40%), Mikael Granlund (47%)2.8 FOW 0–5
FAQ
What is Vladislav Namestnikov's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Vladislav Namestnikov's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Vladislav Namestnikov win tonight?
When Vladislav Namestnikov has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Vladislav Namestnikov better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.