Draw Duel
Brayden Schenn faceoff stats, 2025-26
NYI · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
50.4%
90%: 48.5%–52.2% vs an average regular, on 3,053 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
54.1%
456 won of 843 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
56.3% / 46.5%
471 strong-side, 215 weak-side draws this season
Next game
3.8 FOW
2026-10-06 vs NYR: 8 draws at 49.5%, range 1–7
Where Schenn wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 266 | 152 | 57.1% |
| OZ right | 70 | 38 | 54.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 22 | 11 | 50.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 21 | 14 | 66.7% |
| Centre | 157 | 91 | 58.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 30 | 16 | 53.3% |
| NZ right (def.) | 20 | 9 | 45.0% |
| DZ left | 153 | 86 | 56.2% |
| DZ right | 104 | 39 | 37.5% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R41.6%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L42.3%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R42.7%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R43.2%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L43.3%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L43.5%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L62.9%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L62.6%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L61.6%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L59.9%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R59.6%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L59.6%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 50.0% 8 | 40.0% 5 | 66.7% 3 | — 0 | 60.0% 5 | 0.0% 1 | 50.0% 2 | 50.0% 8 | — 0 |
| 2025-26 | 54.1% 843 | 52.3% 709 | 63.0% 108 | 65.4% 26 | 56.5% 336 | 56.4% 250 | 48.6% 257 | 56.3% 471 | 46.5% 215 |
| 2024-25 | 52.3% 1182 | 52.2% 962 | 51.2% 166 | 57.4% 54 | 53.1% 484 | 55.8% 308 | 48.5% 390 | 56.7% 698 | 39.0% 295 |
| 2023-24 | 49.3% 920 | 47.6% 729 | 60.3% 126 | 47.7% 65 | 52.5% 339 | 48.5% 260 | 46.7% 321 | 53.3% 499 | 41.4% 263 |
| Playoffs (all) | 56.0% 100 | 57.5% 80 | 61.5% 13 | 28.6% 7 | 48.6% 35 | 70.0% 40 | 44.0% 25 | 58.2% 67 | 20.0% 15 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Lowry | 37–39 | 48.7% | 49.2% | 49.2% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Charlie Coyle | 20–20 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| Phillip Danault | 17–21 | 44.7% | 49.1% | 48.8% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 24–12 | 66.7% | 59.5% | 60.0% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Wyatt Johnston | 17–15 | 53.1% | 53.6% | 53.5% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Jack Eichel | 16–11 | 59.3% | 54.6% | 54.8% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Dylan Cozens | 19–8 | 70.4% | 51.2% | 52.2% | a bit unusual (z 2.0) |
| Dylan Larkin | 9–18 | 33.3% | 49.6% | 48.8% | a bit unusual (z -1.7) |
| Quinton Byfield | 15–12 | 55.6% | 54.6% | 54.6% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Mark Scheifele | 13–14 | 48.1% | 54.5% | 54.2% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Nick Paul | 14–10 | 58.3% | 49.9% | 50.3% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Kevin Stenlund | 6–18 | 25.0% | 45.0% | 44.1% | a bit unusual (z -2.0) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs NJD | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | @ TOR | 1 | 3 | 33.3% |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CAR | 8 | 11 | 72.7% |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MTL | 4 | 6 | 66.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | vs OTT | 4 | 6 | 66.7% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs TOR | 6 | 9 | 66.7% |
| 2026-04-04 | @ CAR | 4 | 9 | 44.4% |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PHI | 4 | 8 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ BUF | 4 | 7 | 57.1% |
| 2026-03-30 | vs PIT | 8 | 13 | 61.5% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-06 vs NYR likely opponents: J.T. Miller (44%), Mika Zibanejad (48%)3.8 FOW 1–7
- 2026-10-08 vs CHI likely opponents: Frank Nazar (55%), Anton Frondell (69%)4.8 FOW 2–8
- 2026-10-10 vs TBL likely opponents: Anthony Cirelli (55%), Brayden Point (55%)4.3 FOW 1–7
FAQ
What is Brayden Schenn's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Brayden Schenn's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Brayden Schenn win tonight?
When Brayden Schenn has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Brayden Schenn better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.