Draw Duel
Quinton Byfield faceoff stats, 2025-26
LAK · R · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
45.2%
90%: 43.4%–47.1% vs an average regular, on 2,353 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
45.5%
508 won of 1117 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
50.6% / 38.3%
474 strong-side, 410 weak-side draws this season
Next game
7.6 FOW
2026-10-06 vs FLA: 16 draws at 47.2%, range 3–12
Where Byfield wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 200 | 99 | 49.5% |
| OZ right | 90 | 32 | 35.6% |
| NZ left (att.) | 30 | 15 | 50.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 31 | 12 | 38.7% |
| Centre | 233 | 111 | 47.6% |
| NZ left (def.) | 37 | 23 | 62.2% |
| NZ right (def.) | 32 | 12 | 37.5% |
| DZ left | 207 | 103 | 49.8% |
| DZ right | 257 | 101 | 39.3% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R36.7%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L37.4%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R37.7%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R38.2%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L38.3%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L38.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L58.1%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L57.8%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L56.7%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L55.0%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L54.7%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R54.6%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 75.0% 36 | 73.3% 30 | 83.3% 6 | — 0 | 83.3% 18 | 63.6% 11 | 71.4% 7 | 83.3% 18 | 72.7% 11 |
| 2025-26 | 45.5% 1117 | 46.9% 893 | 50.0% 62 | 35.8% 162 | 45.2% 290 | 47.7% 363 | 44.0% 464 | 50.6% 474 | 38.3% 410 |
| 2024-25 | 44.1% 942 | 44.5% 853 | 42.9% 21 | 38.2% 68 | 42.6% 296 | 42.9% 333 | 46.6% 313 | 48.9% 427 | 39.6% 333 |
| 2023-24 | 45.6% 90 | 45.1% 71 | 44.4% 18 | 100.0% 1 | 44.2% 52 | 57.1% 21 | 35.3% 17 | 56.8% 37 | 33.3% 45 |
| Playoffs (all) | 43.5% 168 | 44.4% 160 | 20.0% 5 | 33.3% 3 | 51.4% 37 | 39.7% 68 | 42.9% 63 | 46.7% 60 | 39.0% 59 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 25–35 | 41.7% | 46.2% | 45.7% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Brock Nelson | 34–18 | 65.4% | 45.3% | 47.2% | unusual (z 2.9) |
| Leon Draisaitl | 16–31 | 34.0% | 38.8% | 38.4% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Robert Thomas | 17–20 | 45.9% | 43.8% | 44.0% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Chandler Stephenson | 10–26 | 27.8% | 44.4% | 43.3% | unusual (z -2.0) |
| Alexander Wennberg | 12–24 | 33.3% | 48.2% | 47.2% | a bit unusual (z -1.8) |
| Morgan Frost | 14–19 | 42.4% | 42.5% | 42.5% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Macklin Celebrini | 17–14 | 54.8% | 47.9% | 48.3% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 14–17 | 45.2% | 47.3% | 47.1% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 16–14 | 53.3% | 49.7% | 49.9% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Connor McDavid | 12–18 | 40.0% | 46.9% | 46.5% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Ryan Strome | 13–15 | 46.4% | 52.4% | 52.1% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | @ SJS | 13 | 20 | 65.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | @ COL | 14 | 16 | 87.5% |
| 2026-04-26 | vs COL | 5 | 18 | 27.8% |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 9 | 20 | 45.0% |
| 2026-04-21 | @ COL | 12 | 21 | 57.1% |
| 2026-04-19 | @ COL | 7 | 18 | 38.9% |
| 2026-04-16 | @ CGY | 8 | 16 | 50.0% |
| 2026-04-14 | @ VAN | 4 | 17 | 23.5% |
| 2026-04-13 | @ SEA | 11 | 21 | 52.4% |
| 2026-04-11 | vs EDM | 3 | 5 | 60.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-06 vs FLA likely opponents: Anton Lundell (45%), Aleksander Barkov (42%)7.6 FOW 3–12
- 2026-10-10 vs VGK likely opponents: Jack Eichel (47%), William Karlsson (43%)7.4 FOW 3–12
FAQ
What is Quinton Byfield's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Quinton Byfield's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Quinton Byfield win tonight?
When Quinton Byfield has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Quinton Byfield better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.