Draw Duel
Roope Hintz faceoff stats, 2025-26
DAL · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
52.6%
90%: 50.6%–54.6% vs an average regular, on 2,539 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
59.1%
430 won of 727 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
61.8% / 50.9%
497 strong-side, 114 weak-side draws this season
Next game
6.4 FOW
2026-10-05 vs SJS: 11 draws at 59.2%, range 3–10
Where Hintz wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 289 | 180 | 62.3% |
| OZ right | 38 | 19 | 50.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 29 | 20 | 69.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| Centre | 116 | 65 | 56.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 33 | 20 | 60.6% |
| NZ right (def.) | 13 | 6 | 46.2% |
| DZ left | 146 | 87 | 59.6% |
| DZ right | 51 | 28 | 54.9% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R43.8%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L44.4%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R44.9%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R45.4%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L45.5%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L45.7%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L65.0%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L64.7%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L63.8%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L62.1%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R61.8%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L61.8%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 41.7% 24 | 46.2% 13 | 44.4% 9 | 0.0% 2 | 50.0% 12 | 0.0% 4 | 50.0% 8 | 47.4% 19 | 33.3% 3 |
| 2025-26 | 59.1% 727 | 58.7% 530 | 59.4% 170 | 66.7% 27 | 60.9% 327 | 57.1% 203 | 58.4% 197 | 61.8% 497 | 50.9% 114 |
| 2024-25 | 53.9% 850 | 53.6% 711 | 53.8% 93 | 58.7% 46 | 57.3% 316 | 46.2% 262 | 57.4% 272 | 57.4% 545 | 50.7% 146 |
| 2023-24 | 56.2% 566 | 56.3% 512 | 63.3% 30 | 45.8% 24 | 58.5% 236 | 53.5% 172 | 55.7% 158 | 57.8% 419 | 64.9% 37 |
| Playoffs (all) | 51.9% 372 | 52.9% 312 | 52.4% 42 | 33.3% 18 | 55.0% 149 | 50.0% 128 | 49.5% 95 | 55.3% 228 | 42.0% 69 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Lowry | 40–30 | 57.1% | 51.7% | 52.4% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 24–33 | 42.1% | 53.6% | 52.4% | a bit unusual (z -1.7) |
| Kevin Stenlund | 17–27 | 38.6% | 46.9% | 46.2% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Brock Nelson | 30–14 | 68.2% | 54.6% | 55.7% | a bit unusual (z 1.8) |
| Charlie Coyle | 19–25 | 43.2% | 52.0% | 51.3% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Mark Scheifele | 21–21 | 50.0% | 56.2% | 55.7% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Robert Thomas | 18–17 | 51.4% | 51.5% | 51.5% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Jack Drury | 17–14 | 54.8% | 48.3% | 48.6% | normal luck (z 0.7) |
| Connor McDavid | 15–16 | 48.4% | 56.5% | 56.0% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Alexander Wennberg | 18–12 | 60.0% | 57.4% | 57.5% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Mikael Backlund | 16–12 | 57.1% | 54.8% | 54.9% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Jordan Staal | 14–11 | 56.0% | 50.5% | 50.8% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | @ NSH | 7 | 11 | 63.6% |
| 2026-10-02 | vs STL | 3 | 13 | 23.1% |
| 2026-03-06 | vs COL | 2 | 4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | vs STL | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 2026-02-02 | vs WPG | 11 | 15 | 73.3% |
| 2026-01-31 | @ UTA | 6 | 9 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-29 | @ VGK | 7 | 10 | 70.0% |
| 2026-01-27 | @ STL | 9 | 12 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-23 | vs STL | 13 | 20 | 65.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | @ CBJ | 8 | 16 | 50.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-05 vs SJS likely opponents: Alexander Wennberg (60%), Macklin Celebrini (58%)6.4 FOW 3–10
- 2026-10-08 vs BUF likely opponents: Josh Norris (55%), Ryan McLeod (55%)6.5 FOW 3–10
- 2026-10-10 vs PIT likely opponents: Sidney Crosby (48%), Ben Kindel (59%)6.1 FOW 3–10
FAQ
What is Roope Hintz's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Roope Hintz's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Roope Hintz win tonight?
When Roope Hintz has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Roope Hintz better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.