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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Alex Tuch has the better number in 27 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Plus/minus +24, Penalty minutes 57, Corsi 51.2%.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Offensive-zone time 41.8%, Power-play share 44.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.26

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.840.61
Assists (+1)0.420.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.20
Hits (+0.1)0.100.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchTarasenko
14Team record in 27 meetings13
17Points in those games21

Tuch 7G 10A, 73 SOG · Tarasenko 10G 11A, 77 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Tuch blocked 1 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Tuch's.

On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)

8:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side

Shot attempts
9–2
81.8%
Expected goals
0.4–0.1
80.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Tuch and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreTuchTarasenko
2026-01-17BUF 4–5 MIN1G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2025-11-29BUF 3–2 MIN0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-12BUF 3–7 DET0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2024-12-09BUF 5–6 DET0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-02BUF 1–2 DET1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-26BUF 5–3 DET0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-13BUF 2–3 FLA0G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-11BUF 5–3 OTT0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-12-31BUF 1–5 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-24BUF 6–4 OTT1G 1A 3S1G 1A 1S
2023-04-10BUF 3–2 NYR0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-31BUF 3–2 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 27 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 27 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tuch and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 27 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 14–13. Tuch had 17 points (7 goals) and Tarasenko had 21 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →