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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Eeli Tolvanen

Andrei SvechnikovAndrei SvechnikovHurricanes · Right wingvsEeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Andrei Svechnikov projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Svechnikov has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Svechnikov for 2.1 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.2.

Andrei Svechnikov has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Corsi 61.1%, Fenwick 59.5%, Goals above expected +5.4.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, On-ice PDO 993.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

2.02

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Andrei Svechnikov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.690.48
Assists (+1)0.490.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.17
Hits (+0.1)0.220.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovTolvanen
9Team record in 14 meetings5
9Points in those games2

Svechnikov 4G 5A, 47 SOG · Tolvanen 1G 1A, 33 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Svechnikov blocked 1 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 0 of Svechnikov's.

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

15:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
22–9
71.0%
Expected goals
1.0–0.5
64.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScoreSvechnikovTolvanen
2026-03-02CAR 1–2 SEA0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-10CAR 3–2 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-03CAR 2–4 SEA0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-10-26CAR 4–1 SEA1G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-18CAR 5–3 NSH2G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-16CAR 3–2 NSH1G 0A 7S0G 0A 6S
2021-05-25 · POCAR 3–2 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2021-05-23 · POCAR 3–4 NSH0G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S
2021-05-21 · POCAR 4–5 NSH0G 1A 6S0G 0A 6S
2021-05-19 · POCAR 3–0 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2021-05-08CAR 1–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2021-03-11CAR 5–1 NSH0G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Andrei Svechnikov projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Svechnikov leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 9–5. Svechnikov had 9 points (4 goals) and Tolvanen had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →