Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Cirelli vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67.

Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Cirelli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Cirelli's 1.2.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Cirelli's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.37, Penalty minutes 48, Luck Meter +50.

Marner's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.6%, Power-play share 80.1%, Power-play time per game 3:32.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Cirelli

1.67

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCirelliMarner
Goals (+2)0.610.52
Assists (+1)0.380.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.21
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.370.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Cirelli vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CirelliMarner
15Team record in 34 meetings19
17Points in those games51

Cirelli 6G 11A, 60 SOG · Marner 13G 38A, 103 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other1

Cirelli's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–0 · Cirelli's defensive zone 0–0 (2019-20 to 2021-22)

9Shots blocked by the other2

Cirelli blocked 9 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 2 of Cirelli's.

On the ice against each other (Cirelli's side)

4:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cirelli's side

Shot attempts
10–4
71.4%
Expected goals
1.1–0.0
97.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Cirelli and Mitch Marner
DateScoreCirelliMarner
2025-11-06TBL 6–3 VGK0G 0A 0S1G 2A 3S
2025-10-26TBL 2–1 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-09TBL 3–4 TOR0G 1A 5S1G 2A 3S
2025-01-20TBL 3–5 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 2A 2S
2024-11-30TBL 3–5 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 2A 4S
2024-10-21TBL 2–5 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2023-11-06TBL 5–6 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 3A 3S
2023-10-21TBL 3–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 7S
2023-04-29 · POTBL 1–2 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-27 · POTBL 4–2 TOR1G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-24 · POTBL 4–5 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 3S
2023-04-22 · POTBL 3–4 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 34 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CirelliMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Cirelli

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Cirelli or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Cirelli's 1.67. Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Cirelli or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cirelli and Marner done against each other?
In 34 games against each other in our data, Cirelli's team went 15–19. Cirelli had 17 points (6 goals) and Marner had 51 (13 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Cirelli or Marner?
Against each other, Cirelli has won 1 and Marner 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →