Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Samuelsson's 2.0.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.6%, Corsi 58.2%, Power-play time per game 3:13.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.6, On-ice PDO 1036, Blocked shots 154.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 0.44 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 2G 2A, 52 SOG · Samuelsson 1G 2A, 13 SOG
Tkachuk blocked 1 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 2 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
12:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–11
- 56.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.4
- 61.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | OTT 4–1 BUF | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-23 | OTT 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-25 | OTT 2–3 BUF | 1G 0A 9S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-11 | OTT 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-31 | OTT 5–1 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-24 | OTT 4–6 BUF | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-01 | OTT 3–1 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-13 | OTT 1–4 BUF | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-01-25 | OTT 5–0 BUF | 0G 1A 12S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-01-18 | OTT 1–3 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 4–6. Tkachuk had 4 points (2 goals) and Samuelsson had 3 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →