Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 2.8 ESPN points to Tkachuk's 1.9.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018, Hits 162, Faceoff win % 57.6%.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.3, On-ice PDO 1054, 20+ mph bursts 455.
Head to head on the dot, Tkachuk leads MacKinnon 20–6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 8G 7A, 55 SOG · MacKinnon 8G 19A, 48 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 13–2 · neutral 4–2 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 3–2 (2019-20 to 2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
5:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–6
- 57.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 46.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | OTT 5–2 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-08 | OTT 2–8 COL | 1G 0A 7S | 1G 3A 5S |
| 2025-03-20 | OTT 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-27 | OTT 4–5 COL | 1G 2A 5S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-01-16 | OTT 4–7 COL | 0G 3A 4S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-12-21 | OTT 4–6 COL | 0G 0A 9S | 4G 1A 9S |
| 2023-03-16 | OTT 4–5 COL | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 3A 6S |
| 2023-01-14 | OTT 0–7 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2021-12-04 | OTT 6–5 COL | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2020-02-11 | OTT 0–3 COL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2020-02-06 | OTT 1–4 COL | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2019-01-16 | OTT 5–2 COL | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.9 ptsLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.8 ptsSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 3–9. Tkachuk had 15 points (8 goals) and MacKinnon had 27 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 20 and MacKinnon 6 of their 26 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →