Who to start · 2025-26
Bryan Rust vs Ivan Provorov
In 2025-26, Bryan Rust scored 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.
This week Rust has no games left; Provorov has no games left.
Bryan Rust has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Rust's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Offensive-zone start % 63.3%, Luck Meter +32.
Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.49, Expected goals 51.5%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rust | Provorov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.81 | 0.22 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.82 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rust vs Provorov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rust 13G 11A, 95 SOG · Provorov 1G 10A, 72 SOG
Rust blocked 4 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 4 of Rust's.
On the ice against each other (Rust's side)
35:10 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Rust's side
- Shot attempts
- 44–34
- 56.4%
- Expected goals
- 2.4–1.8
- 57.0%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rust | Provorov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | PIT 3–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-04 | PIT 5–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-28 | PIT 4–3 CBJ | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-25 | PIT 4–5 CBJ | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-21 | PIT 6–3 CBJ | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-07 | PIT 3–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-15 | PIT 2–6 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-03-30 | PIT 3–4 CBJ | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-28 | PIT 3–2 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-11-14 | PIT 5–3 CBJ | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-02 | PIT 4–2 PHI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-11 | PIT 5–1 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 39 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Bryan Rust
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Ivan Provorov
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTAOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Sebastian Cossa (.944)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Bryan Rust or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Bryan Rust scored 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Rust had 65 points in 72 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Bryan Rust or Ivan Provorov?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Bryan Rust leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rust and Provorov done against each other?
- In 39 games against each other in our data, Rust's team went 22–17. Rust had 24 points (13 goals) and Provorov had 11 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →